The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life (106 page)

Read The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life Online

Authors: Richard J. Herrnstein,Charles A. Murray

Tags: #History, #Science, #General, #Psychology, #Sociology, #Genetics & Genomics, #Life Sciences, #Social Science, #Educational Psychology, #Intelligence Levels - United States, #Nature and Nurture, #United States, #Education, #Political Science, #Intelligence Levels - Social Aspects - United States, #Intellect, #Intelligence Levels

BOOK: The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life
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Basic Analysis, Adding Mother’s Age at Birth (AgeBirth):
 
Whole-Model Test
Source
DF
-LogLikelihood
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Model
4
6.77955
13.55909
0.008844
Error
2272
349.56619
 
 
C Total
2276
356.34574
 
 
 
RSquare (U)
0.0190
 
 
Observations
2277
 
Parameter Estimates
Term
Estimate
Std Error
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Intercept
−3.90965790
0.7617514
26.34
0.0000
zAFQT89
−0.46251520
0.1522804
9.22
0.0024
zSES
+0.01584480
0.1517047
0.01
0.9168
zAge
+0.25360789
0.1252257
4.10
0.0428
AgeBirth
+0.02095854
0.0311104
0.45
0.5005
The High School Sample:
 
Whole-Model Test
Source
DF
-LogLikelihood
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Model
3
1.96999
3.93998
0.268019
Error
944
179.09080
 
 
C Total
947
181.06079
 
 
 
RSquare (U)
0.0109
 
 
Observations
948
 
Parameter Estimates:
Term
Estimate
Std Error
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Intercept
−3.1278597
0.1778908
309.16
0.0000
zAFQT89
−0.3560319
0.2387034
2.22
0.1358
zSES
+0.0653651
0.2379847
0.08
0.7836
zAge
+0.2490558
0.1681270
2.19
0.1385

The College Sample:
Omitted. The cross-sectional College Sample included only four low-birth-weight babies.

DEPENDENT VARIABLE:
The child’s mother was under the poverty line throughout the child’s first three years of life.

SAMPLE RESTRICTIONS:
Includes children born from January 1, 1978 through December 31, 1987, with complete data on poverty for the first three years of the child’s life, beginning with the calendar year of birth. Comparison group consists of children of mothers who were not in poverty in any of those years.

Basic Analysis:
 
Whole-Model Test
Source
DF
-LogLikelihood
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Model
3
79.84242
159.6848
0.000000
Error
1054
246.63029
 
 
C Total
1057
326.47271
 
 
 
RSquare (U)
0.2446
 
 
Observations
1058
 
Parameter Estimates
Term
Estimate
Std Error
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Intercept
−2.9319316
0.1679177
304.87
0.0000
zAFQT89
−1.1608860
0.1893877
37.57
0.0000
zSES
−1.0386253
0.1734586
35.85
0.0000
zAge
−0.1837537
0.1320334
1.94
0.1640

Basic Analysis, Adding Poverty Status in the Year Prior to Birth (PreBirthPov):

Whole-Model Test
Source
DF
-LogLikelihood
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Model
4
13338437
266.7687
0.000000
Error
967
161.88379
C Total
971
295.26816
 
RSquare(U)
 
0.4517
 
Observations
 
972
 
Parameter Estimates
Term
Estimate
Std Error
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Intercept
−1.9685017
0.2117444
86.43
0.0000
zAFQT89
−1.0772447
0.2375948
20.56
0.0000
zSES
−0.8977385
0.2215879
16.41
0.0001
zAge
+0.0117316
0.1681889
0.00
0.9444
PreBirthPov
 
 
 
 
[No-Yes]
−1.7345986
0.1635206
112.53
0.0000

The High School Sample, Adding Poverty Status in the Year Prior to Birth (PreBirthPov):

Whole-Model Test
Source
DF
-LogLikelihood
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Model
4
68.47634
136.9527
0.000000
Error
472
75.99609
 
 
C Total
476
144.47243
 
 
 
RSquare (U)
0.4740
 
 
 
Observations (or Sum Wgts)
477
 
Parameter Estimates
Term
Estimate
Std Error
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Intercept
−1.9504069
0.3232654
36.40
0.0000
zAFQT89
−1.2253622
0.4168866
8.64
0.0033
zSES
−0.5574476
0.3852681
2.09
0.1479
zAge
0.05808314
0.252284
0.05
0.8179
PreBirthPov
 
 
 
 
[No-Yes]
−2.0368386
0.236268
74.32
0.0000

The College Sample:
Omitted. The cross-sectional College Sample included only one child whose mother was beneath the poverty line throughout the first three years.

DEPENDENT VARIABLE:
The child’s HOME index score was in the bottom decile.

SAMPLE RESTRICTIONS:
None.

ADDITIONAL CONTROL VARIABLES:
Test year (TestYr, nominal: 1986, 1988, or 1990) and the child’s age category for scoring the HOME index (HomeAgeCat, nominal, in years: 0/2, 3/5, 6+).

Basic Analysis:
 
Whole-Model Test
Source
DF
-LogLikelihood
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Model
7
88.9225
177.8451
0.000000
Error
5114
1190.6267
 
 
C Total
5121
1279.5492
 
 
 
RSquare (U)
0.0695
 
 
Observations
5122
 
Patameter Estimates
Term
Estimate
Std Error
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Intercep
−2.8430001
0.0687859
1708.3
0.0000
zAFQT89
−0.6710186
0.0765998
76.74
0.0000
zSES
−0.2383458
0.0800828
8.86
0.0029
zAge
−0.1428139
0.062902
5.15
0.0232
TestYr.
 
 
 
 
[86-901]
+0.0128625
0.0858087
0.02
0.8808
TestYr.
 
 
 
 
[88-90]
−0.0414196
0.0798373
0.27
0.6039
HomeAgeCat
 
 
 
 
[0/2-6+]
+03225819
0.081541
15.65
0.0001
HomeAgeCat
 
 
 
 
[3/5-6+]
−0.1338273
0.0852061
2.47
0.1163

Basic Analysis, Adding Poverty Status in the Year Before the HOME Index was Scored (PreTYPov):

Whole-Model Test
Source
DF
-LogLikelihood
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Model
8
116.4719
232.9438
0.000000
Error
4655
1049.6688
 
 
C Total
4663
1166.1407
 
 
 
RSquare (U)
0.0999
 
 
Observations
4664
 
Parameter Estimates
Term
Estimate
Std Error
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Intercept
−2.5413180
0.0768882
1092.4
0.0000
zAFQT89
−0.5717052
0.0847651
45.49
0.0000
zSES
−0.1646842
0.0848268
3.77
0.0522
zAge
−0.0836204
0.0673282
1.54
0.2142
TestYr
 
 
 
 
[86-90]
Unstable
+0.0068172
0.0900515
0.01
0.9397
 
 
 
 
TestYr
 
 
 
 
[88-90]
−0.0538353
0.0851491
0.40
0.5272
HomeAge
 
 
 
 
Cat[0/2-6+]
+03100371
0.0867081
12,79
0.0003
HomeAge
 
 
 
 
Cat[3/5-6+]
−0.0968535
0.0892661
1.18
0.2779
PreTYPov
 
 
 
 
[NO-Yes]
−0.5366001
0.0664395
65.23
0.0000

Basic Analysis, Adding AFDC Status in the Year Before the HOME Index Was Scored (PreTYDAC):

Whole-Model Test
Source
DF
-LogLikelihood
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Model
8
120.4866
240.9733
0.000000
Error
5101
11503749
 
 
C Total
5109
1270.8615
 
 
 
RSquare (U)
0.0948
 
 
Observations
5110
 
Parameter Estimates
Term
Estimate
Std Error
ChiSquare
Prob>ChiSq
Intercept
−2.4639335
0.0797203
955.26
0.0000
zAFQT89
−0.5835098
0.078223
55.65
0.0000
zSES
−0.1973545
0.0813485
5.89
0.0153
zAge
−0.0908713
0.0644499
1.99
0.1586
TestYr[86-90]
−0.0105341
0.0872339
0.01
0.9039
TestYr[88-90]
−0.0232495
0.0811592
0.08
0.7745
HomeAge
 
 
 
 
Cat[0/2-6+]
+0.3429802
0.0829005
17.12
0.0000
HomeAge
 
 
 
 
Cat[3/5-6+]
−0.1348740
0.0863764
2.44
0.1184
PreTYADC
 
 
 
 
[No-Yes]
−0.5572417
0.0680104
67.13
0.0000

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