Understanding Sabermetrics (32 page)

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Authors: Gabriel B. Costa,Michael R. Huber,John T. Saccoma

BOOK: Understanding Sabermetrics

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It looks like Hank Greenberg contributed 7.389 wins to the Tigers in 1934.

Inning 5: The Linear Weights School — Pitching and Defense

Easy Tosses

(1)

(2)

(4)

This translates to about 0.29 runs saved per nine innings for Gibson and 0.53 runs saved per nine innings for Maddux.

Hard Slider

(2)

Doc Gooden’s 1985 performance ranks very high on the all-time list. Dontrelle Willis could be classified as having experienced the sophomore jinx. However, he returned to the top the next season (2005), going 22-10, with an ERA over 1.4 runs below the league average.

Inning 6: The Runs-Created School

Easy Tosses

(1a)

Texas’s projected wins based on the Pythagorean record was 87, while Toronto’s was 86.

(1b)

The Kansas City Royals won 10 games more than their projection, and the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles each won 5 games fewer than their projections.

(2)
We use basic runs created: (H + BB) × (TB) / (AB + BB) = (21276 + 7737)) × (33837) / (78416 + 7737) = 11395 (rounded). The league scored 11365, so the runs-created figure is well within half of 1 percent of the actual figure.