A Sense of the Enemy: The High Stakes History of Reading Your Rival's Mind (44 page)

Red Army,
37
,
46
,
59
,
65

South Vietnamese Revolutionary,
135

Wei,
147

arms, manufacturing of,
92

Army Air Corps,
94

Army of the Republic of Vietnam (ARVN),
130
–
131
,
144
,
230

The Art of War
(Tzu),
149

Artushof
(ship),
52

Asquith, Herbert,
21

assassinations,
116

Asselin, Pierre,
116
,
224

Assessment of the American Imperialists,
140

assessments

psychological,
101

quantitative,
170
–
171

asymmetric information,
191

August
7
Politburo directive,
127
–
128

Austrian Communist Party,
31

availability heuristic,
149
–
150

back-door channels,
88
,
93

Bagh, Jallianwala,
14
,
17

Barbarossa (campaign),
74
,
83
,
105
,
207

Barents Sea port,
177

Bear Island,
49

Beer Hall Putsch,
33

behavioral economics,
196

behavior patterns,
6
–
7
,
15
,
70
,
89
,
93
,
99
,
151
,
161
,
164

belief systems,
68

Berlin, Isaiah,
3

Berman, Larry,
228

biases,
69
,
204

biology, evolutionary,
193

Bismark, Otto von,
3
–
4

black hole,
192

Black Reichswehr,
33

Blair, Tony,
163

Blink
(Gladwell),
198

Blomberg, Werner Eduard Fritz von,
79

bluffs, Soviet,
43
–
49
,
61

Blum, Leon,
55

Bohlen, Charles,
161

Bolsheviks,
28
–
29
,
36
,
40
,
47
,
78
,
84
,
159

Brandler, Heinrich,
34
–
36

Briand, Aristide,
56
,
58
,
60
,
66
,
213

Brigham, Robert,
225

Britain

British Cabinet,
58

British Communist Party,
40

expansion blocks,
157

foreign offices,
152
–
153

German invasion,
82

materials access,
78

political leaders,
18
–
19

Sikhs and,
20

Brockdorff-Rantzau, Ulrich von,
35
,
37
,
39
,
41
,
49
,
63

Brown, Derren,
182
–
184

Browning, Christopher R.,
205
–
206

Brown Shirts,
78
,
80
,
90

Buchrucker, Bruno,
33

Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce,
171
–
172

Bunds
,
60

Bundy, McGeorge,
129

Butcher of Amritsar,
22

Calculating Credibility
(Press),
202

campaigns, German disinformation,
74

capabilities and intentions,
200

capitalists,
113
,
201

Caprivi, Leo von,
156

Catholic Center Party,
171

Center for the Analysis of Personality and Political Behavior,
165

Central Committee,
111
,
123
,
144

Central Intelligence Agency (CIA),
164
,
179
,
226
,
228

Central Office of South Vietnam (COSVN),
114
,
116
,
118
,
121
,
129
,
145

Chabris, Christopher,
3
–
4

Chamberlain, Austen,
56
–
57
,
66

Chancellorship,
32

Chandler, Raymond,
192

character traits,
156
,
160

Charge d’Affaires,
90

Chen Shou,
148

Chernobyl nuclear accident,
7

Chiang Kai-shek,
121

Chicherin, Georgi,
28
–
30
,
35
,
39
,
44
,
63
,
77

China crisis,
58
–
59

Churchill, Winston,
6
,
21
–
22
,
47
,
83

civil rights protests,
122

Civil War, American,
29

Clifford-Elsey report,
158

Clinton, Bill,
163

Cochin China Party Committee,
114
–
115

code of conduct,
161
–
164

cognitive framework,
161

cognitive neuroscience,
204

cognitive psychology,
196

Cohrs, Patrick,
64
–
65

Cold War,
158
,
160
–
161
,
174
,
176
–
178

Colombian youth gangs,
191

colonial rule,
17

colored peoples,
100

Comintern,
40
–
41
,
47

communist parties

Austrian,
31

British,
40

dogma of,
201

German,
30
–
31

Indochinese,
111

revolution,
185

Southern Vietnam,
137

Soviet Russia,
52

Soviet Union,
114

Vietnamese Communist movement,
115

communist revolution,
185

computer science,
192

conceptual framework,
158
,
206

conservative (party),
19
,
22

constraints,
117
,
176
,
184
,
201
,
204

context-dependent preferences,
68

continuity heuristic,
147
–
166
,
186
,
231

contradiction, strategic,
140

counterrevolutionary efforts,
119

coup d’etat,
76
,
80

covert military training,
51

crawling order,
15
,
18

criminal networks,
191

Crowe, Eyre,
153
,
155
,
164
,
232

Crowe Memorandum of 1907,
152
–
153
,
160

Cuban Missile Crisis,
5
–
6
,
120
–
121

Cun Ming,
149
,
154

Cuno, Wilhelm,
38

Czechoslovakia, invasion of,
144

Dang vu Hiep,
130

data sets,
168

Dawes, Charles G.,
56
,
213

de-Americanization,
144

decision making,
4
,
69
,
196
,
219

Defense Department,
171

Dekanozov, Vladimir,
83

demilitarized zones,
92

Democratic Republic of Vietnam (DRV),
108
,
126

deterministic ideology,
159

Diem assassination,
116

.
see also
Ngo Dinh Diem

diplomacy,
64

Directive Number
21
,
73

directives,
73
,
127
–
128
,
132

Dirksen, Herbert von,
62

disarmament violations,
60

disinformation campaign,
74

Dodd, William E.,
89
,
92
,
206
,
221

dogma

communist,
201

Marxist,
76
–
77
,
121

domestic instability,
71

domestic opposition,
117

domestic politics,
110

dominance,
176

drivers

constraints,
117
,
176
,
184
,
201
,
204

Hitler,
105

key,
109
,
201

Kremlin,
185

messianic,
99

prime,
86

Soviet behavior,
161

Stalin,
75

Stresemann,
63
–
70

underlying,
165
,
176
,
183
–
184

dual policy, Russia,
38

dual use materials,
58

Dung Van Tien,
126

Dyer, Reginald E.,
14
–
15

dynasties, Han,
149

East and West, balance of,
67

econometricians,
175

economic growth,
97

economic interests,
97

Egyptian army,
173

Eight Plenum,
112

Einsatzgruppen,
78

Einstein, Albert,
27

Eisener, Kurt,
30

Eisenhower, Dwight D.,
113
,
120

election results,
168

Eleventh Plenum,
138

emotional empathy,
75

.
see also
strategic empathy

enemy intentions,
202

England, aggression of,
96

Enlightenment science,
168

equal rights,
218

escalation,
123
–
146
,
186

espionage,
73
,
141

European diplomacy,
64

evolutionary biology,
193

expansionism,
153

failed deterrence hypothesis,
132