Capital in the Twenty-First Century (119 page)

BOOK: Capital in the Twenty-First Century
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58
. This is due mainly to the fact that wages are generally aggregated in a single line
with other intermediate inputs (that is, with purchases from other firms, which also
remunerate both labor and capital). Hence published accounts never reveal the split
between profits and wages, nor do they allow us to uncover possible abuses of intermediate
consumption (which can be a way of augmenting the income of executives and/or stockholders).
For the example of the Lonmin accounts and the Marikana mine, see the online technical
appendix.

59
. The exigent attitude toward democracy of a philosopher such as Jacques Rancière
is indispensable here. See in particular his
La haine de la démocratie
(Paris: La Fabrique, 2005).

Conclusion

1
. Note, too, that it is perfectly logical to think that an increase in the growth
rate
g
would lead to an increase in the return on capital
r
and would therefore not necessarily reduce the gap
r

g.
See
Chapter 10
.

2
. When one reads philosophers such as Jean-Paul Sartre, Louis Althusser, and Alain
Badiou on their Marxist and/or communist commitments, one sometimes has the impression
that questions of capital and class inequality are of only moderate interest to them
and serve mainly as a pretext for jousts of a different nature entirely.

Contents in Detail

Acknowledgments

Introduction

A Debate without Data?

Malthus, Young, and the French Revolution

Ricardo: The Principle of Scarcity

Marx: The Principle of Infinite Accumulation

From Marx to Kuznets, or Apocalypse to Fairy Tale

The Kuznets Curve: Good News in the Midst of the Cold War

Putting the Distributional Question Back at the Heart of Economic Analysis

The Sources Used in This Book

The Major Results of This Study

Forces of Convergence, Forces of Divergence

The Fundamental Force for Divergence:
r
>
g

The Geographical and Historical Boundaries of This Study

The Theoretical and Conceptual Framework

Outline of the Book

Part One:
Income and Capital

   
1.
Income and Output

The Capital-Labor Split in the Long Run: Not So Stable

The Idea of National Income

What Is Capital?

Capital and Wealth

The Capital/Income Ratio

The First Fundamental Law of Capitalism:
α
=
r
×
β

National Accounts: An Evolving Social Construct

The Global Distribution of Production

From Continental Blocs to Regional Blocs

Global Inequality: From 150 Euros per Month to 3,000 Euros per Month

The Global Distribution of Income Is More Unequal Than the Distribution of Output

What Forces Favor Convergence?

   
2.
Growth: Illusions and Realities

Growth over the Very Long Run

The Law of Cumulative Growth

The Stages of Demographic Growth

Negative Demographic Growth?

Growth as a Factor for Equalization

The Stages of Economic Growth

What Does a Tenfold Increase in Purchasing Power Mean?

Growth: A Diversification of Lifestyles

The End of Growth?

An Annual Growth of 1 Percent Implies Major Social Change

The Posterity of the Postwar Period: Entangled Transatlantic Destinies

The Double Bell Curve of Global Growth

The Question of Inflation

The Great Monetary Stability of the Eighteenth and Nineteenth Centuries

The Meaning of Money in Literary Classics

The Loss of Monetary Bearings in the Twentieth Century

Part Two:
The Dynamics of the Capital/Income Ratio

   
3.
The Metamorphoses of Capital

The Nature of Wealth: From Literature to Reality

The Metamorphoses of Capital in Britain and France

The Rise and Fall of Foreign Capital

Income and Wealth: Some Orders of Magnitude

Public Wealth, Private Wealth

Public Wealth in Historical Perspective

Great Britain: Public Debt and the Reinforcement of Private Capital

Who Profits from Public Debt?

The Ups and Downs of Ricardian Equivalence

France: A Capitalism without Capitalists in the Postwar Period

   
4.
From Old Europe to the New World

Germany: Rhenish Capitalism and Social Ownership

Shocks to Capital in the Twentieth Century

Capital in America: More Stable Than in Europe

The New World and Foreign Capital

Canada: Long Owned by the Crown

New World and Old World: The Importance of Slavery

Slave Capital and Human Capital

   
5.
The Capital/Income Ratio over the Long Run

The Second Fundamental Law of Capitalism:
β
=
s/g

A Long-Term Law

Capital’s Comeback in Rich Countries since the 1970s

Beyond Bubbles: Low Growth, High Saving

The Two Components of Private Saving

Durable Goods and Valuables

Private Capital Expressed in Years of Disposable Income

The Question of Foundations and Other Holders of Capital

The Privatization of Wealth in the Rich Countries

The Historic Rebound of Asset Prices

National Capital and Net Foreign Assets in the Rich Countries

What Will the Capital/Income Ratio Be in the Twenty-First Century?

The Mystery of Land Values

   
6.
The Capital-Labor Split in the Twenty-First Century

From the Capital/Income Ratio to the Capital-Labor Split

Flows: More Difficult to Estimate Than Stocks

The Notion of the Pure Return on Capital

The Return on Capital in Historical Perspective

The Return on Capital in the Early Twenty-First Century

Real and Nominal Assets

What Is Capital Used For?

The Notion of Marginal Productivity of Capital

Too Much Capital Kills the Return on Capital

Beyond Cobb-Douglas: The Question of the Stability of the Capital-Labor Split

Capital-Labor Substitution in the Twenty-First Century: An Elasticity Greater Than
One

Traditional Agricultural Societies: An Elasticity Less Than One

Is Human Capital Illusory?

Medium-Term Changes in the Capital-Labor Split

Back to Marx and the Falling Rate of Profit

Beyond the “Two Cambridges”

Capital’s Comeback in a Low-Growth Regime

The Caprices of Technology

Part Three:
The Structure of Inequality

   
7.
Inequality and Concentration: Preliminary Bearings

Vautrin’s Lesson

The Key Question: Work or Inheritance?

Inequalities with Respect to Labor and Capital

Capital: Always More Unequally Distributed Than Labor

Inequalities and Concentration: Some Orders of Magnitude

Lower, Middle, and Upper Classes

Class Struggle or Centile Struggle?

Inequalities with Respect to Labor: Moderate Inequality?

Inequalities with Respect to Capital: Extreme Inequality

A Major Innovation: The Patrimonial Middle Class

Inequality of Total Income: Two Worlds

Problems of Synthetic Indices

The Chaste Veil of Official Publications

Back to “Social Tables” and Political Arithmetic

   
8.
Two Worlds

A Simple Case: The Reduction of Inequality in France in the Twentieth Century

The History of Inequality: A Chaotic Political History

From a “Society of Rentiers” to a “Society of Managers”

The Different Worlds of the Top Decile

The Limits of Income Tax Returns

The Chaos of the Interwar Years

The Clash of Temporalities

The Increase of Inequality in France since the 1980s

A More Complex Case: The Transformation of Inequality in the United States

The Explosion of US Inequality after 1980

Did the Increase of Inequality Cause the Financial Crisis?

The Rise of Supersalaries

Cohabitation in the Upper Centile

   
9.
Inequality of Labor Income

Wage Inequality: A Race between Education and Technology?

The Limits of the Theoretical Model: The Role of Institutions

Wage Scales and the Minimum Wage

How to Explain the Explosion of Inequality in the United States?

The Rise of the Supermanager: An Anglo-Saxon Phenomenon

Europe: More Inegalitarian Than the New World in 1900–1910

Inequalities in Emerging Economies: Lower Than in the United States?

The Illusion of Marginal Productivity

The Takeoff of the Supermanagers: A Powerful Force for Divergence

10.
Inequality of Capital Ownership

Hyperconcentrated Wealth: Europe and America

France: An Observatory of Private Wealth

The Metamorphoses of a Patrimonial Society

Inequality of Capital in Belle Époque Europe

The Emergence of the Patrimonial Middle Class

Inequality of Wealth in America

The Mechanism of Wealth Divergence:
r
versus
g
in History

Why Is the Return on Capital Greater Than the Growth Rate?

The Question of Time Preference

Is There an Equilibrium Distribution?

The Civil Code and the Illusion of the French Revolution

Pareto and the Illusion of Stable Inequality

Why Inequality of Wealth Has Not Returned to the Levels of the Past

Some Partial Explanations: Time, Taxes, and Growth

The Twenty-First Century: Even More Inegalitarian Than the Nineteenth?

11.
Merit and Inheritance in the Long Run

Inheritance Flows over the Long Run

Fiscal Flow and Economic Flow

The Three Forces: The Illusion of an End of Inheritance

Mortality over the Long Run

Wealth Ages with Population: The
μ
×
m
Effect

Wealth of the Dead, Wealth of the Living

The Fifties and the Eighties: Age and Fortune in the Belle Époque

The Rejuvenation of Wealth Owing to War

How Will Inheritance Flows Evolve in the Twenty-First Century?

From the Annual Inheritance Flow to the Stock of Inherited Wealth

Back to Vautrin’s Lecture

Rastignac’s Dilemma

The Basic Arithmetic of Rentiers and Managers

The Classic Patrimonial Society: The World of Balzac and Austen

Extreme Inequality of Wealth: A Condition of Civilization in a Poor Society?

Meritocratic Extremism in Wealthy Societies

The Society of Petits Rentiers

The Rentier, Enemy of Democracy

The Return of Inherited Wealth: A European or Global Phenomenon?

12.
Global Inequality of Wealth in the Twenty-First Century

The Inequality of Returns on Capital

The Evolution of Global Wealth Rankings

From Rankings of Billionaires to “Global Wealth Reports”

Heirs and Entrepreneurs in the Wealth Rankings

The Moral Hierarchy of Wealth

The Pure Return on University Endowments

What Is the Effect of Inflation on Inequality of Returns to Capital?

The Return on Sovereign Wealth Funds: Capital and Politics

Will Sovereign Wealth Funds Own the World?

Will China Own the World?

International Divergence, Oligarchic Divergence

Are the Rich Countries Really Poor?

Part Four:
Regulating Capital in the Twenty-First Century

13.
A Social State for the Twenty-First Century

The Crisis of 2008 and the Return of the State

The Growth of the Social State in the Twentieth Century

Modern Redistribution: A Logic of Rights

Modernizing Rather Than Dismantling the Social State

Do Educational Institutions Foster Social Mobility?

The Future of Retirement: Pay-As-You-Go and Low Growth

The Social State in Poor and Emerging Countries

14.
Rethinking the Progressive Income Tax

The Question of Progressive Taxation

BOOK: Capital in the Twenty-First Century
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